Market Commentary: Week Ending 01-20-12

This past week was kicked-off on Tuesday with news that China's economy is slowing.  Normally, news that China's high-growth economy is slowing would precipitate a sell-off in stocks.  But, this past week the slowdown news also came with suspicion that a China slowdown would usher in more intervention to stimulate the Chinese economy.  Intervention, stimulus, [...]

January 23rd, 2012|

Current Environment – CWM Investment Outlook for 2012

I have my suspicions that the New Year is going to bring some interesting dynamics to the stock market.  I’ve attempted to address the Current Environment that we are in by discussing where we’ve been historically, why I continue to maintain a large cash position in my clients’ portfolios, and where I think we’re headed [...]

January 8th, 2012|

Are you part of the 58% not receiving 401(k) advice?

A few years back, Charles Schwab released a study entitled, “The New Rules of Engagement for 401(k) Success.”  70% of the survey respondents said their 401(k) is their only or primary source of retirement savings.  However, only 42% reported having received professional financial advice in the past two years. Schwab’s analysis found that the use [...]

December 13th, 2011|

Market Commentary: Week Ending 11-11-11

Markets registered what appeared to be a relatively tame week; Friday saw a melt up in stocks.  I would attribute most of the melt up in stocks to the bond market being closed for Veterans Day.  The last time we had bond markets closed (October 10th), we saw a very similar occurrence of the market [...]

November 14th, 2011|

Market Commentary: Week Ending 11-04-11

What makes the money world go around? Confidence and trust makes the money world go around.  The market tension, and eventual rout in 2007-2008, had very much to do with a breakdown in confidence and trust.  The global banking system is dependent upon banks working with one another.  This cooperation between banks is one way [...]

November 7th, 2011|

Market Commentary: Week Ending 10-28-11

Meteoric Melt Up This past Thursday we saw a huge melt-up in the market on the news that Europe will try to solve their debt problems with more debt.  To make matters worse, the headlines all declared that European banks were agreeing to a 50% haircut on their Greek bond holdings.  A haircut is where [...]

October 31st, 2011|

Market Commentary: 10-21-2011

In the last few weeks I have been studying the markets and reading an unimaginable amount of news from all over the globe.  In my estimation, the recent stock market bounce (that started on 10/5/2011) has been a result of three things: Until recently, the number of people betting against the market (short interest) was [...]

October 24th, 2011|

Market Commentary: 10-14-2011

We saw a major jump in the markets this past week.  The two big stories were the start of earnings season, and Europe.  In earnings news, Alcoa and JP Morgan Chase both disappointed.  However, Google reported far better-than-expected as a result of increasing demand for its search engine platform.  Stocks also rose on positive news [...]

October 15th, 2011|

Active or Passive?

Just the facts… This has been the raging debate for decades: Should one use actively managed funds or passive index funds (the vast majority of ETFs are index funds)?  Both sides have made fair arguments over the years, but in the end, most advisors and individual investors fall on one side of the fence or [...]

October 11th, 2011|

Market Commentary: 10-7-2011

Surprisingly, we saw a positive week in the markets, though there was little volume.  The returns were surprising because of all the continued bad news coming out of Europe.  Belgium’s biggest bank, Dexia, is going to be bailed out and partly nationalized by the French and Belgium governments, Italy and Spain were both downgraded, and [...]

October 10th, 2011|